IN THE ANALYSIS

The week ahead – On the mandate

Nigeria has revised its 2024 budget upwards by ₦1.5 trillion to ₦27.5 trillion ($32.76 billion), Budget Minister Atiku Bagudu said, after increasing the oil price benchmark to $77.96 and lowering the naira exchange rate assumption to ₦750 per dollar. Also, the government is seeking to borrow $8.6 billion and €100 million. President Tinubu said the Buhari administration approved the 2022-2024 external borrowing rolling plan on 15 May 2023. Meanwhile, the Socio-Economic Rights and Accountability Project has urged the World Bank to halt loans to Nigeria’s 36 states, citing allegations of mismanagement of public funds. While we think that the oil assumption revisions are sound and grounded in the current realities of global and domestic outlook, oil production, which is currently at 1.43 million barrels per day and up from 1.23 million barrels per day in the previous month, is still behind the 1.78 million barrels per day target set in the 2024 budget submission. The last time Nigeria’s monthly production averaged 1.7 million per day was in May 2020. However, if the current trajectory continues, the target will be achievable, which can only mean positives for Nigeria's precarious fiscal position. Meanwhile, it is still largely dependent on oil and gas ...
/ Analysis

ANALYSIS

The week ahead – Security, or a lack of it, has an economic effect

Heightened criminal attacks on Lagos state communities appear not to ...
/ Analysis

The week ahead – “Technical” or not, Nigeria cannot afford to remain in recession

Failure to meet revenue targets for the first and second ...
/ Analysis

Coup attempt in Turkey – what lessons for Nigeria?

Yesterday there was a coup in Turkey, a nation that ...
/ Analysis, Reports

The week ahead – Internal security needs urgent attention

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has reassured bank customers ...
/ Analysis

Analysis: What happened in Ikorodu?

Oil vandals killed dozens at two communities on the outskirts ...
/ Analysis, Reports

The current state of Nigeria’s FX market

A lot has happened over the past 2 weeks the ...
/ Analysis, Reports

The week ahead – Calls for restructuring will intensify

Professor Wole Soyinka has called on President Muhammad Buhari to ...
/ Analysis

What impact will #Brexit have on Nigeria?

People talk about political earthquakes. The UK's decision to end ...
/ Analysis, Reports

The week ahead – Little pockets of insecurity grow larger

The naira finally strengthened against the dollar, notching up its ...
/ Analysis

Analysis: The impact of the new monetary policy

History will be made today when commercial banks set the ...
/ Analysis, Reports

The week ahead – A light has appeared at the tunnel’s end

The CBN has finally let go of pegs on the ...
/ Analysis

The week ahead – Buhari’s health will be a talking point

President Muhammad Buhari on Monday travelled to the United Kingdom ...
/ Analysis

The week ahead – It’s all about the delta

President Muhammadu Buhari on Thursday backed off a proposed trip ...
/ Analysis

The week ahead – Nigeria is heading to recession

Nigeria’s GDP fell by 0.36% in the first quarter of ...
/ Analysis

A new type of militant emerges

Chevron Nigeria received reports that at about 11pm Wednesday 4th ...
/ Analysis, Reports

The week ahead – Trouble ahead over fuel price hike

On Wednesday, Nigeria's government raised the price of petrol, saying ...
/ Analysis

The week ahead – Niger Delta militants are back in the news

The Defence authorities have confirmed an attack on a major ...
/ Analysis

The week ahead – Again, the economy comes into focus

Newspaper reports earlier this week claim that all is not ...
/ Analysis

The week ahead – Nigeria needs a compass

The Acting General Officer Commanding Division 7 of the Nigeria ...
/ Analysis

The week ahead – The Middle Belt crisis has escalated

Rural communities across Nigeria's Middle Belt have been turned into ...
/ Analysis

The week ahead – The blame game has worn its course, there is work to be done

Nigerians might have to pay more for petrol in the ...
/ Analysis

The week ahead – The President should come home and work

Nigeria continues to grapple with a debilitating energy crisis. The ...
/ Analysis

The week ahead – Something has to be done about the Middle Belt

The crisis in Benue state continued with an attack on ...
/ Analysis

Analysis – What is going on with Nigeria’s power?

In the final week of the Goodluck Jonathan Administration, power ...
/ Analysis, Reports