IN THE ANALYSIS

The week ahead – On the mandate

Nigeria has revised its 2024 budget upwards by ₦1.5 trillion to ₦27.5 trillion ($32.76 billion), Budget Minister Atiku Bagudu said, after increasing the oil price benchmark to $77.96 and lowering the naira exchange rate assumption to ₦750 per dollar. Also, the government is seeking to borrow $8.6 billion and €100 million. President Tinubu said the Buhari administration approved the 2022-2024 external borrowing rolling plan on 15 May 2023. Meanwhile, the Socio-Economic Rights and Accountability Project has urged the World Bank to halt loans to Nigeria’s 36 states, citing allegations of mismanagement of public funds. While we think that the oil assumption revisions are sound and grounded in the current realities of global and domestic outlook, oil production, which is currently at 1.43 million barrels per day and up from 1.23 million barrels per day in the previous month, is still behind the 1.78 million barrels per day target set in the 2024 budget submission. The last time Nigeria’s monthly production averaged 1.7 million per day was in May 2020. However, if the current trajectory continues, the target will be achievable, which can only mean positives for Nigeria's precarious fiscal position. Meanwhile, it is still largely dependent on oil and gas ...
/ Analysis

ANALYSIS

Africa Watch – Friends of enemies

South Africa, on Thursday, announced the organisation of joint manoeuvres ...
/ Analysis

2023 elections, the watchdog and the liers in wait

The passage of the Electoral Act 2022 into law in ...
/ Analysis, Election 2023

Will the PDP give Taraba up?

So much of Nigeria’s political narrative is driven by the ...
/ Analysis, Election 2023

The week ahead – Shege

The Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria (IPMAN) has said ...
/ Analysis

Tinubu alleges northern APC conspiracy

We think that Mr Bola Ahmed Tinubu, the candidate of ...
/ Analysis, Election 2023

Is Obi coasting to Aso Rock?

In May last year, former Anambra governor, Peter Obi, quit ...
/ Analysis, Election 2023

Abia governorship race – Man proposes

Many times, we are faced with the news that reminds ...
/ Analysis, Election 2023

Who clinches Government House Enugu?

The PDP has maintained a stronghold on Enugu State politics ...
/ Analysis, Election 2023

Video: The potential impact of insecurity on the 2023 elections

A survey by SBM Intelligence indicates that the 2023 elections ...
/ Analysis, Election 2023, Reports, Research

Everything hinges on PVC collection

On Tuesday, 17th January 2023, Professor Mahmood Yakubu, the Chairman ...
/ Analysis, Election 2023

Africa Watch – Somalia’s latest shot

Somalia’s government-led forces have captured an al-Shabaab stronghold on the ...
/ Analysis

2023 election security brief, 23 January

Nigeria's 2023 elections are a mere four weeks away, and ...
/ Analysis, Election 2023

Assessing Tinubu’s chances at the polls

Nigeria's South-West is generally considered the country’s most developed and ...
/ Analysis, Election 2023

Reclaiming the country’s food basket

When we say the world is interconnected, we typically think ...
/ Analysis, Election 2023

The week ahead – Cuckoo in the nest

The Chairman of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), Mahmood ...
/ Analysis

Is the Presidency a bridge too far for Turaki Adamawa?

Undisputedly, the most experienced of the presidential candidates at this ...
/ Analysis, Election 2023

What of women in the 2023 elections?

Although women make up 47% of Nigeria’s 84 million voters ...
/ Analysis, Election 2023

A ‘ward’ is enough for the wise

On Monday, 12 December 2022, INEC commenced the distribution of ...
/ Analysis, Election 2023

Ogun: Politics of missing shots

"Location. Location. Location." is a popular mantra in the real ...
/ Analysis, Election 2023

Lagos as the ultimate prize in Nigeria’s politics

Lagos is an important factor in the upcoming elections for ...
/ Analysis, Election 2023

Chart of the week: PVC collection survey summary

In late December 2022, SBM Intelligence surveyed 6588 likely voters ...
/ Election 2023, Reports, Research

What makes Kwankwaso tick?

The 2023 elections are the first in Nigerian history since ...
/ Analysis, Election 2023

2023 election security brief, 16 January

With Nigeria's 2023 elections fast approaching, governance is taking the ...
/ Analysis, Election 2023

Africa Watch – Maintaining the act

The 49 Ivoirien soldiers convicted of undermining Mali’s state security ...
/ Analysis