Mounting election violence
22nd February 2019
SBM Intelligence has been curating incidents of election-related violence in which fatalities have occurred from October 2018 to date. For the incidents to qualify, they must have been as a direct result of electoral activities, including campaigning, rallies, intra/inter party incidents, clashes with security agencies and violence in which there is a link with electioneering activities. In the period under review (14 October, 2018 to 20 February, 2019), we have curated 67 distinct Incidents, bringing the average occurrence to 2 every 3 days. In these incidents, there have be 233 fatalities, making the daily average deaths due to electoral violence 2, and average per incident 3 deaths. In the analysis below, we have not included the disputed incident in Kajuru, Kaduna state.
Region | Incidents by zone | Fatalities by zone | Casualties per incident | Casualties per day |
North Central | 11 | 74 | 7 | 2 every 3 days |
North East | 3 | 32 | 11 | 2 every 10 days |
North West | 4 | 17 | 4 | 2 every 10 days |
South East | 2 | 7 | 4 | 2 every 3 days |
South South | 30 | 69 | 2 | 2 every 3 days |
South West | 17 | 34 | 2 | 1 every 3 days |
Nationwide | 67 | 233 | 3 | 2 per day |